Who will win Delta Governorship Election?
The presidential election in Nigeria has come and gone, and with history being made with the acceptance of defeat and patriotic call to Buhari, the Democracy in this country has been further deepened and enhanced. The effect of the victory recorded by Buhari will surely influence the outcome of who wins the states gubernatorial and house of assembly slots. But only one state will be focused on in this writeup: Delta State.
Prior to the victory recorded by Buhari, Senator Ifeanyi Okowa was on course to record a landslide victory and emerge as the governor of Delta state; outside being influential in the Delta North senatorial district, the internal conflict between the candidate of Labour party Chief Great Ogboru and O'tega Emerhor of the All Progressives Party also aided his course.
But, all of a sudden, the game has changed; the tide has suddenly turned against him in favour of either Ogboru or Emerhor and the chances of Okowa emerging victorious are getting slimer by the day. So, what could be the plot?
Following the internal crisis in Delta Central, the Urhobo Progressive Union (UPU) was quoted to have resolved the power tussle between Ogboru and Emerhor: "If President Jonathan retains his presidency, Emerhor will step down and work with Ogboru, but if Buhari defeats Jonathan then Ogboru will have to step down for Emerhor".
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As it stands, it appears the victory of Buhari has already decided who the Urhobos will be supporting come April 11, 2015 governorship election in Delta state. It also implies that the seat of power will be returning to Urhoboland again after losing grip of power for the past eight years.
However, it remains to be seen if Great Ogboru will be willing to work with and support O'tega Emerhor for the governorship election. Should there be any element of doubt in this alliance, then this may just be another added advantage that would sway the governorship seat to Ifeanyi Okowa.
Another dimension to who may likely win the governorship election in the state pertains to how the voting pattern may emerge. It is expected that either of Ogboru and Emerhor will claim Delta Central with Okowa expected to record victory in Delta North, but who wins Delta South?
As at the time of writing this article, speculations have heightened that the governor of Delta State, Dr. Emmanuel Uduaghan, may be decamping to the All Progressives Congress before the governorhip election. Should this speculation become a reality, then hi influence may likely shift the battle for who replaces him in the favour of either of Ogboru and Emerhor.
In spite of the political uncertainties and speculations that have again been heightened with the victory achieved by the APC at the presidency, the governorship election in Delta state remains a keenly contested battle. Though the tide favours the candidate from Delta Central, the election may either be won or lost depending on how well the internal crisis in the senatorial district is managed and resolved.
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