We conducted a post-election survey to determine the
prevailing determinants in the recently concluded March 28th presidential
We collected responses starting from the 30th of
March, 2015 with 63%, 512 responses obtained on the first day. 91% or 738
responses were collected within the first 30 days of the poll. Total responses
The poll was distributed through several online for a
including ProudNigerian.com; NewsRescue.com, ENDS.ng and through emails and
facebook account sharing.
Respondents were asked to answer the following questions:
1. Did you vote in the March 28th Presidential elections? 2.
If no, why did you not vote? 3. Who did you vote for? 4. What state are you
from? 5. What is your ethnicity? 6. What influenced your vote the most? 7. What
is your religion? 8. Do you have any other comments, questions, or concerns?
Answers were multiple choices, open ended, select all and
comment box type.
84%, 589 voted in the elections. Many of those who did not
voted cited “no voters card” and being out of the country as the major reasons
for not voting in 116 text responses.
555 reported voting for the winner, Muhammadu Buhari and 61
reported voting for outgoing president Goodluck Jonathan. Tunde
Anifowose-Kelani got 2 votes while the rest contestants got 1 or 0.
209 responded being Hausa, 83 Fulani, 47 Igbo, 180 Yoruba, 6
Ijaw and 37 Kanuri. Other ethnicities were filled as 143 comments.
Development was the greatest influence on voting choice with
269 selections; next was Progress with 225; Economy: 203; Unity 145; Terror
101. Least were Religion and Ethnicity with 24 and 13 votes respectively.
465 reported being Muslim and 250 or 34% Christian.
RESULTS BY ETHNICITY SNIPPET
Of the particular ethnicities of interest in this snippet,
of those who identified as Igbos, out of 47 respondents, 16 voted for the
incumbent while 22 reported voting for the winner, Muhammadu Buhari. This
number was in disparity with the results from the polls which some have alleged
One Igbo reported voting for Tunde Anifowose.
40 Igbos identified as being Christians and 3 as Muslims.
The factors that influenced the Igbo votes for Goodlcuk
Jonathan were: Development 8, Economy 4, Ethnicity 3, Religion 2, Progress 3
and Education 1.
The factors that determined Igbo vote for Muhammadu
Buhari were Development 9, Economy 6, Progress 5, Unity 7, Terror 2.
Comment: It was interesting to note that Unity and
Progress were high among Igbo voters for Muhammadu Buhari while Ethnicity and
Religion were high among voters for Jonathan and absent among voters for Buhari.
Of the Hausa voters, the results were almost completely
homogenous. Only 4 of 209 voters voted for Goodluck Jonathan. 1 voted for
Martins Onovo. All the rest who voted did so for Muhammadu Buhari.
Of the 209, only 6 voted based on Religion and 3 based on
Ethnicity, the rest voted mainly for Development, Progress, Unity, Economy and
From the results, there was a 2.5 times greater odds of
voting based on religion and ethnicity among the Igbos when compared to the
Of the Yorubas15 voted for Goodluck Jonathan and 134
reported voting for Muhammadu Buhari. The pattern was similar.
All but one Fulani who voted for Chekwas Okorie, voted for
winner Muhammadu Buhari. The reasons for voting were similar: Development,
Unity, Progress, Economy, Terror.
Of the 83 Fulani respondents, only 2 voted based on
Ethnicity and 1 on Religion.
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