Abuja – Boko Haram may be gearing up to spread its activities to other areas of Nigeria and the region based on its existing capabilities.
The new wave of terror could be motivated by revenge which could potentially worsen security in Nigeria and further destabilise neighbouring countries says Think Security Africa.
Boko Haram’s attacks detract attention and resources away from the socio-political problems in Nigeria that have made the establishment of groups such as Boko Haram possible in the first place.
TSA says the solution should be to prioritise containment, protect civilians, boost local force protection, and decrease the mobility of Boko Haram.
Cracking down as in 2009 when Boko Haram suffered heavy losses will probably again result in it regrouping and unleashing a new and unprecedented dispersed campaign of violence.