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Poll predicts APC landslide victory in Osun

01 August 2014, 11:03

Osun - An opinion poll by TNS-RMS, the reputable research firm, suggests incumbent Rauf Aregbesola will retain the governorship of the Osun State during next weekend’s polls.

It forecast the sustained domination by his All Progressives Congress (APC) in the area.

According to the study, the incumbent governor, Aregbesola, is the candidate of choice by Osun voters with a 73 percent lead over other candidates.

His closest rival, Iyiola Omisore of the People’s Democratic Party comes a distant second, polling 19 percent and his popularity suffering a 2 percent decline from the last poll.

“The APC continues to dominate the political landscape in Osun State judging by its performance on all key indicators evaluated: it scored highest and also increased in rating on first mention, sympathy, and voting intention. The incumbent remains (the) main voting choice. Voting choice for Senator Omisore declined by 2 percent and seems not to pose a threat to the incumbent’s chances of re-election as he remains firmly ahead of the race,” TNS-RMS said in its final report.

The firm added, “while Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola is more known than his party, Senator Iyiola Omisore (PDP’s candidate) is less known than his party. Top-of-mind awareness of Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola increased to 85 percent (from 79 percent), affinity increased from 72 percent to 74 percent and chances of being re-elected increased from 71 percent to 73 percent.

Fears of vote rigging by the PDP and alleged lack of capacity on the part of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to conduct a credible poll have characterised preparations for the eagerly-awaited poll.

– CAJ News

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